News

DAVID STOCKMAN: “SELL ALL YOUR STOCKS BEFORE THE ELECTION!”

David Stockman warns both Trump and Clinton could lead to 25% sell-off

 
David Stockman, the man widely credited as the “Father of Reaganomics”, delivered an alarming message to investors.

Sell everything!

“The markets are hideously inflated,” warned Stockman on CNBC’s “Fast Money” this week. The former Director of the Office of Management and Budget under President Ronald Reagan urged investors to dump stocks and bonds ahead of the dangers that both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton pose to markets if either is elected as President.

 

“If you don’t sell before the election, certainly do it afterwards. Government is going to be totally paralyzed regardless of who wins,” he said. “There could be a 25 percent draw down on markets.”

Stockman posits that, under a Clinton administration, official investigations and new hacked email disclosures from Wikileaks will be non-stop. Furthermore, he reasoned that the “house will become a killing field” for anything Clinton is trying to do. Ultimately, Stockman said the Democrat would enter the Oval Office bruised, bloody and all but lacking in legitimacy.

“For six months, or even longer, there will acrimony, there will be brinkmanship, there will be paralysis. There will be a swarm of house committees doing investigations from all of these wiki leaks!” Stockman said of Clinton’s hypothetical early days in the White House.

“Therefore, there will be no baton handed off from the Fed to fiscal policy as we slide into recession,” he added.

Stockman, who spent twenty years on Wall Street with Salomon Brothers and Blackstone and served as a Congressman for Michigan, said the IRS is the government agency that is the clearest indicator that a storm is brewing over financial markets.

“The IRS said that last year revenue was up 1 percent and, in the last quarter, it was down 4 percent,” explained Stockman. “And, in the five months since May, payroll withholding was barely keeping even with wage inflations. That means the work hours aren’t happening.”

From here, Stockman reasoned that with a paralyzed congress, a soon-to-expire debt ceiling, a powerless central bank and a market that’s been flat for 700 days, that the pieces are in place for a crisis.

“We’re in the same place today as we were in December of 2014,” explained Stockman. “There’s massive risk. So what’s the possible reward?”

Indeed, the S&P 500 Index has gained just over 1 percent in nearly two years while the Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained just .70 percent.

Party like its 1906?

CNBC
Comparatively, Stockman likes that Trump appears ready to call out the Fed and breakup the “cozy” relationship that exists between Washington and Wall Street. However, that’s where his favorable opinion of the GOP nominee ends.

“I like him because he’s against the establishment, but he has no economic program. Yes, he’s a disruptor, but has nothing to disrupt with,” Stockman said.

“If elected, it will be partisan warfare and a total disaster,” Stockman explained to CNBC. “Under a Trump victory, all bets are off.”

Stockman, recently chronicled the likely ruin he foresees for the U.S. economy in his new book “Trumped! A nation on the brink of ruin…and how to bring it back.” Ultimately he likened the future of Wall Street, after the election, to San Francisco after the 1906 earthquake, one of the most devastating ever.

For this reason, Stockman has washed his hands of everything in his portfolio except cash and gold.

 

Related Securities

Symbol
Price
 
Change
%Change
S&P 500 2085.18
 
-3.48

 

Advertisements

Leave a tip or request

Please log in using one of these methods to post your comment:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s